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  "author": "Suzanne Pierce",
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  "author": "Suzanne Pierce",
            
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  "name": "sites-stories-interactive-for-crc-paper",
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  "name": "sites-stories-interactive-for-crc-paper",
            
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  "notes": "Results: Community-Informed Climate Impact Assessment of 
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  "notes": "Results: Community-Informed Climate Impact Assessment of 
            
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Nunapitchuk, Alaska\r\n\r\nThis is a preliminary analysis and 
17
Nunapitchuk, Alaska\r\n\r\nThis is a preliminary analysis and 
            
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interactive site combining results of Arctic Infrastructure Analyses 
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interactive site combining results of Arctic Infrastructure Analyses 
            
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that link narrative interview information with on the ground 
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that link narrative interview information with on the ground 
            
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environmental information collected using drone sensors. The study 
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environmental information collected using drone sensors. The study 
            
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presents a mixed-methods analysis integrating stakeholder interviews 
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presents a mixed-methods analysis integrating stakeholder interviews 
            
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(n=7, ages 43-80) with geospatial data to assess climate-induced 
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(n=7, ages 43-80) with geospatial data to assess climate-induced 
            
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infrastructure vulnerabilities in Nunapitchuk, Alaska. Through 
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infrastructure vulnerabilities in Nunapitchuk, Alaska. Through 
            
24
systematic coding of interview transcripts, we identified 47 
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systematic coding of interview transcripts, we identified 47 
            
25
references to permafrost degradation, representing the dominant 
25
references to permafrost degradation, representing the dominant 
            
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environmental concern across all stakeholder groups. The analysis 
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environmental concern across all stakeholder groups. The analysis 
            
27
revealed critical infrastructure failures affecting 38 documented 
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revealed critical infrastructure failures affecting 38 documented 
            
28
structures, with differential subsidence rates showing south-facing 
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structures, with differential subsidence rates showing south-facing 
            
29
foundations degrading 40% faster than north-facing 
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foundations degrading 40% faster than north-facing 
            
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structures.\r\n\r\nOur Scientific Variable Object (SVO) framework 
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structures.\r\n\r\nOur Scientific Variable Object (SVO) framework 
            
31
mapped nine quantifiable metrics to stakeholder priorities, revealing 
31
mapped nine quantifiable metrics to stakeholder priorities, revealing 
            
32
high concordance (>80%) between elder traditional knowledge and 
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high concordance (>80%) between elder traditional knowledge and 
            
33
scientific measurements for permafrost thaw rates and ground 
33
scientific measurements for permafrost thaw rates and ground 
            
34
subsidence indicators. Water quality assessments detected arsenic 
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subsidence indicators. Water quality assessments detected arsenic 
            
35
concentrations downstream from waste facilities, corroborating 
35
concentrations downstream from waste facilities, corroborating 
            
36
community-reported health concerns including unprecedented cancer 
36
community-reported health concerns including unprecedented cancer 
            
37
clusters and first-time waterborne illnesses among lifelong 
37
clusters and first-time waterborne illnesses among lifelong 
            
38
residents.\r\n\r\nThe perceived environmental change trajectory, 
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residents.\r\n\r\nThe perceived environmental change trajectory, 
            
39
validated through temporal analysis spanning 1920-2024, demonstrates 
39
validated through temporal analysis spanning 1920-2024, demonstrates 
            
40
accelerating degradation with ground stability declining from 95% 
40
accelerating degradation with ground stability declining from 95% 
            
41
(1970s) to 30% (2020s). Multiple stakeholders independently estimated 
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(1970s) to 30% (2020s). Multiple stakeholders independently estimated 
            
42
a 3-5 year window before complete infrastructure failure, aligning 
42
a 3-5 year window before complete infrastructure failure, aligning 
            
43
with geotechnical projections showing active layer depths increasing 
43
with geotechnical projections showing active layer depths increasing 
            
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at 12cm/year.\r\n\r\nEconomic impact analysis revealed a 900% increase 
44
at 12cm/year.\r\n\r\nEconomic impact analysis revealed a 900% increase 
            
45
in energy costs over one generation ($20/barrel to $190/month), 
45
in energy costs over one generation ($20/barrel to $190/month), 
            
46
threatening community sustainability. The 3D point cloud visualization 
46
threatening community sustainability. The 3D point cloud visualization 
            
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captured 2.3km\u00b2 of riverbank terrain at 15-point/m\u00b2 density, 
47
captured 2.3km\u00b2 of riverbank terrain at 15-point/m\u00b2 density, 
            
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documenting erosion rates of 2.5m/year and permafrost-related surface 
48
documenting erosion rates of 2.5m/year and permafrost-related surface 
            
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deformation patterns.\r\n\r\nCritical findings indicate immediate 
49
deformation patterns.\r\n\r\nCritical findings indicate immediate 
            
50
federal intervention is required, with $11 million already allocated 
50
federal intervention is required, with $11 million already allocated 
            
51
for waste management upgrades. The convergence of traditional 
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for waste management upgrades. The convergence of traditional 
            
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knowledge with quantitative measurements strengthens the validity of 
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knowledge with quantitative measurements strengthens the validity of 
            
53
relocation timelines. This integrated assessment framework provides a 
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relocation timelines. This integrated assessment framework provides a 
            
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replicable methodology for climate impact evaluation in Arctic 
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replicable methodology for climate impact evaluation in Arctic 
            
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communities, demonstrating the value of incorporating indigenous 
55
communities, demonstrating the value of incorporating indigenous 
            
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knowledge systems into engineering assessments for infrastructure 
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knowledge systems into engineering assessments for infrastructure 
            
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resilience planning.",
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resilience planning.",
            
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